diff --git a/archive/backup.go b/archive/backup.go
index ec6050aa04..ebfc830050 100644
--- a/archive/backup.go
+++ b/archive/backup.go
@@ -171,7 +171,7 @@ func processExportStream(
 			expectedTo = event.Latest
 		}
 
-		expectedTotal := event.Latest - targetFrom
+		expectedTotal := targetTo - targetFrom
 		progress := 100 * (float64(event.To) - float64(targetFrom)) / float64(expectedTotal)
 
 		logger.Info(