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Perpetual GBM model #461

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dean-sh opened this issue Dec 3, 2024 · 3 comments
Open

Perpetual GBM model #461

dean-sh opened this issue Dec 3, 2024 · 3 comments

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@dean-sh
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dean-sh commented Dec 3, 2024

Description

PerpetualBooster is a new gradient boosting machine (GBM) algorithm which doesn't need hyperparameter optimization unlike other GBM algorithms.
It includes a budget parameter which can be tweaked to optimise the search.

From their results, it seems to be faster for training/inference against a tuned LightGBM with similar performance, and mostly better than AutoGluon across 10 datasets.

https://github.com/perpetual-ml/perpetual

Use case

I'd be keen to test this as a drop-in replacement to any other GBM model and integrate it to nixtla MLforecast natively.

@jmoralez
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jmoralez commented Dec 3, 2024

Hey. If it implements fit and predict you can just provide it directly to the models argument.

@dean-sh
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dean-sh commented Dec 4, 2024

Would it support quantiles (confidence intervals)?

@jmoralez
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jmoralez commented Dec 4, 2024

Yes, with conformal prediction.

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