-
Notifications
You must be signed in to change notification settings - Fork 2
/
deep_learning_multiclass.py
1082 lines (927 loc) · 53.6 KB
/
deep_learning_multiclass.py
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265
266
267
268
269
270
271
272
273
274
275
276
277
278
279
280
281
282
283
284
285
286
287
288
289
290
291
292
293
294
295
296
297
298
299
300
301
302
303
304
305
306
307
308
309
310
311
312
313
314
315
316
317
318
319
320
321
322
323
324
325
326
327
328
329
330
331
332
333
334
335
336
337
338
339
340
341
342
343
344
345
346
347
348
349
350
351
352
353
354
355
356
357
358
359
360
361
362
363
364
365
366
367
368
369
370
371
372
373
374
375
376
377
378
379
380
381
382
383
384
385
386
387
388
389
390
391
392
393
394
395
396
397
398
399
400
401
402
403
404
405
406
407
408
409
410
411
412
413
414
415
416
417
418
419
420
421
422
423
424
425
426
427
428
429
430
431
432
433
434
435
436
437
438
439
440
441
442
443
444
445
446
447
448
449
450
451
452
453
454
455
456
457
458
459
460
461
462
463
464
465
466
467
468
469
470
471
472
473
474
475
476
477
478
479
480
481
482
483
484
485
486
487
488
489
490
491
492
493
494
495
496
497
498
499
500
501
502
503
504
505
506
507
508
509
510
511
512
513
514
515
516
517
518
519
520
521
522
523
524
525
526
527
528
529
530
531
532
533
534
535
536
537
538
539
540
541
542
543
544
545
546
547
548
549
550
551
552
553
554
555
556
557
558
559
560
561
562
563
564
565
566
567
568
569
570
571
572
573
574
575
576
577
578
579
580
581
582
583
584
585
586
587
588
589
590
591
592
593
594
595
596
597
598
599
600
601
602
603
604
605
606
607
608
609
610
611
612
613
614
615
616
617
618
619
620
621
622
623
624
625
626
627
628
629
630
631
632
633
634
635
636
637
638
639
640
641
642
643
644
645
646
647
648
649
650
651
652
653
654
655
656
657
658
659
660
661
662
663
664
665
666
667
668
669
670
671
672
673
674
675
676
677
678
679
680
681
682
683
684
685
686
687
688
689
690
691
692
693
694
695
696
697
698
699
700
701
702
703
704
705
706
707
708
709
710
711
712
713
714
715
716
717
718
719
720
721
722
723
724
725
726
727
728
729
730
731
732
733
734
735
736
737
738
739
740
741
742
743
744
745
746
747
748
749
750
751
752
753
754
755
756
757
758
759
760
761
762
763
764
765
766
767
768
769
770
771
772
773
774
775
776
777
778
779
780
781
782
783
784
785
786
787
788
789
790
791
792
793
794
795
796
797
798
799
800
801
802
803
804
805
806
807
808
809
810
811
812
813
814
815
816
817
818
819
820
821
822
823
824
825
826
827
828
829
830
831
832
833
834
835
836
837
838
839
840
841
842
843
844
845
846
847
848
849
850
851
852
853
854
855
856
857
858
859
860
861
862
863
864
865
866
867
868
869
870
871
872
873
874
875
876
877
878
879
880
881
882
883
884
885
886
887
888
889
890
891
892
893
894
895
896
897
898
899
900
901
902
903
904
905
906
907
908
909
910
911
912
913
914
915
916
917
918
919
920
921
922
923
924
925
926
927
928
929
930
931
932
933
934
935
936
937
938
939
940
941
942
943
944
945
946
947
948
949
950
951
952
953
954
955
956
957
958
959
960
961
962
963
964
965
966
967
968
969
970
971
972
973
974
975
976
977
978
979
980
981
982
983
984
985
986
987
988
989
990
991
992
993
994
995
996
997
998
999
1000
#multiclass deep-learning on college football games
from pandas import read_csv, DataFrame, concat, io, to_numeric, io
from os.path import join, exists
from os import getcwd, mkdir
from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler, MinMaxScaler
from sklearn.decomposition import FactorAnalysis, PCA
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from scipy import stats
from tensorflow import keras
from tensorflow.keras import layers
from keras.callbacks import EarlyStopping
from keras_tuner.tuners import RandomSearch
from tensorflow.keras.optimizers import Adam, RMSprop, SGD
from keras.layers import Input, Dense, Dropout, BatchNormalization
from keras.models import Model
from pickle import dump, load
from colorama import Fore, Style
from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression
from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error
from tqdm import tqdm
from collect_augment_data import collect_two_teams
from numpy import nan, array, reshape, arange, random, zeros, argmax, mean, shape, exp, var
from sys import argv
from sklearn.model_selection import GridSearchCV
from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestRegressor
# import subprocess
# import yaml
# from scipy.stats import norm, lognorm, beta
from tensorflow.keras import regularizers
from tensorflow.keras.optimizers.schedules import ExponentialDecay
import shutil
import math
from gc import collect
from psutil import virtual_memory
from matplotlib.animation import FuncAnimation
from fitter import Fitter
from scipy.stats import norm, lognorm, beta, gamma, expon, uniform, weibull_min, weibull_max, pareto, t, chi2, triang, invgauss, genextreme, logistic, gumbel_r, gumbel_l, loggamma, powerlaw, rayleigh, laplace, cauchy
def check_ram_usage_txt(txtfile):
ram_percent = virtual_memory().percent
if ram_percent >= 95:
with open(txtfile, 'w') as f:
f.writelines('RAM Full\n')
print(f"RAM is {ram_percent}%. Exit.")
exit()
def check_ram_usage():
ram_percent = virtual_memory().percent
if ram_percent >= 92:
print(f"RAM is {ram_percent}%. Exit.")
exit()
def build_classifier(hp,input_shape):
model = keras.Sequential()
num_features = input_shape[1]
print(f"Number of features: {num_features}")
#number of layers
num_layers = hp.Int('num_layers', min_value=1, max_value=10, step=1)
#weight initialization
kernel_initializer = hp.Choice('kernel_initializer', values=['glorot_uniform', 'he_uniform', 'random_normal'])
#L2 regularization
l2_reg = hp.Float('l2_reg', min_value=1e-6, max_value=1e-2, sampling='log')
#batch normalization usage
use_batch_norm = hp.Boolean('use_batch_norm')
for i in range(num_layers):
#the number of units in each layer
units = hp.Int(f'units_layer_{i}', min_value=8, max_value=512, step=24)
#the activation function
activation = hp.Choice(f'activation_layer_{i}', values=['relu', 'tanh', 'sigmoid', 'swish', 'leaky_relu', 'elu',
'selu', 'softplus', 'softsign', 'hard_sigmoid', 'gelu'])
model.add(layers.Dense(units=units, activation=activation,
kernel_initializer=kernel_initializer,
kernel_regularizer=regularizers.l2(l2_reg)))
if use_batch_norm:
model.add(layers.BatchNormalization())
#dropout rate
dropout_rate = hp.Float(f'dropout_layer_{i}', min_value=0.0, max_value=0.5, step=0.1)
model.add(layers.Dropout(rate=dropout_rate))
#the output layer with softmax activation for multi-class classification
model.add(layers.Dense(2, activation='softmax'))
#optimizer
optimizer = hp.Choice('optimizer', values=['adam', 'rmsprop', 'sgd'])
learning_rate = hp.Float('learning_rate', min_value=1e-4, max_value=1e-2, sampling='log')
#batch size
batch_size = hp.Int('batch_size', min_value=16, max_value=128, step=16)
#learning rate decay
decay_steps = hp.Int('decay_steps', min_value=1000, max_value=10000, step=1000)
decay_rate = hp.Float('decay_rate', min_value=0.1, max_value=0.9, step=0.1)
#learning rate schedule
lr_schedule = ExponentialDecay(
initial_learning_rate=learning_rate,
decay_steps=decay_steps,
decay_rate=decay_rate
)
#gradient clipping
clipnorm = hp.Float('clipnorm', min_value=0.1, max_value=1.0, step=0.1)
if optimizer == 'adam':
opt = Adam(learning_rate=lr_schedule, clipnorm=clipnorm)
elif optimizer == 'rmsprop':
opt = RMSprop(learning_rate=lr_schedule, clipnorm=clipnorm)
else:
#momentum for SGD
momentum = hp.Float('momentum', min_value=0.0, max_value=0.9, step=0.1)
opt = SGD(learning_rate=lr_schedule, momentum=momentum, clipnorm=clipnorm)
model.compile(optimizer=opt,
loss='categorical_crossentropy',
metrics=['accuracy'])
return model, batch_size
#wrapper function to extract model and batch size
def build_classifier_with_batch_size(hp,input_shape):
model, batch_size = build_classifier(hp,input_shape)
hp.values['batch_size'] = batch_size
return model
def create_model_classifier(hp,shape_input):
#Feature model
optimizer = hp.Choice('optimizer', ['adam', 'rmsprop'])
units = hp.Int('units', min_value=5, max_value=100, step=5)
learning_rate = hp.Float('learning_rate', min_value=1e-4, max_value=1e-2, sampling='log')
dropout_rate = hp.Float('dropout_rate', min_value=0.0, max_value=0.5, step=0.1)
inputs = Input(shape=(shape_input,))
shared_hidden_layer = Dense(units, activation='relu')(inputs)
shared_hidden_layer = Dense(units, activation='tanh')(shared_hidden_layer)
shared_hidden_layer = Dense(units, activation='relu')(shared_hidden_layer)
shared_hidden_layer = BatchNormalization()(shared_hidden_layer)
shared_hidden_layer = Dropout(dropout_rate)(shared_hidden_layer)
output_layers = []
for i in range(shape_input):
output_layer = Dense(1, activation='tanh', name=f'target_{i+1}')(shared_hidden_layer)
output_layers.append(output_layer)
if optimizer == 'adam':
optimizer = Adam(learning_rate=learning_rate)
else:
optimizer = RMSprop(learning_rate=learning_rate)
model = Model(inputs=inputs, outputs=output_layers)
model.compile(optimizer=optimizer, loss='mean_squared_error', metrics=['mse'])
return model
class deepCfbMulti():
def __init__(self):
print('instantiate deepCfbMulti class')
def str_manipulations(self,df):
#extract outcomes and scores
df['team_1_outcome'] = df['game_result'].apply(lambda x: 1 if x[0] == 'W' else 0)
df['team_2_outcome'] = df['game_result'].apply(lambda x: 1 if x[0] == 'L' else 0)
df['team_1_score'] = df['game_result'].str.extract(r'(\d+)-\d+').astype(int)
df['team_2_score'] = df['game_result'].str.extract(r'\d+-(\d+)').astype(int)
df.drop(columns=['game_result'],inplace=True)
return df
def split_classifier(self):
#Read in data
self.all_data = read_csv(join(getcwd(),'all_data.csv'))
self.all_data = concat([self.all_data, read_csv(join(getcwd(),'all_data_2024.csv'))])
for column in self.all_data.columns:
if column != 'game_result':
self.all_data[column] = to_numeric(self.all_data[column], errors='coerce')
self.x_regress = read_csv(join(getcwd(),'x_feature_regression.csv'))
self.x_regress = concat([self.x_regress, read_csv(join(getcwd(),'x_feature_regression_2024.csv'))])
self.y_regress = read_csv(join(getcwd(),'y_feature_regression.csv'))
self.y_regress = concat([self.y_regress, read_csv(join(getcwd(),'y_feature_regression_2024.csv'))])
self.all_data = self.str_manipulations(self.all_data)
self.x_regress = self.str_manipulations(self.x_regress)
self.y_regress = self.str_manipulations(self.y_regress)
self.classifier_drop = ['team_1_outcome','team_2_outcome',
'game_loc','team_1_score','team_2_score']
self.y = self.all_data[['team_1_outcome','team_2_outcome']]
self.x = self.all_data.drop(columns=self.classifier_drop)
print(f'number of features: {len(self.x.columns)}')
print(f'number of samples: {len(self.x)}')
self.manual_comp = len(self.x.columns)
#Standardize
self.scaler = StandardScaler() #MinMaxScaler(feature_range=(0,1))
X_std = self.scaler.fit_transform(self.x)
#FA
# self.fa = FactorAnalysis(n_components=self.manual_comp)
# X_fa = self.fa.fit_transform(X_std)
# self.x_data = DataFrame(X_fa, columns=[f'FA{i}' for i in range(1, self.manual_comp+1)])
self.fa = PCA(n_components=0.95) # Specify the variance ratio to keep
X_pca = self.fa.fit_transform(X_std)
self.manual_comp = X_pca.shape[1]
self.x_data = DataFrame(X_pca, columns=[f'FA{i+1}' for i in range(X_pca.shape[1])])
print(f"PCA reduced the number of features from {len(self.x.columns)} to {X_pca.shape[1]}")
num_columns = self.x_data.shape[1]
grid_size = math.ceil(math.sqrt(num_columns))
fig, axes = plt.subplots(grid_size, grid_size, figsize=(15, 15))
axes = axes.flatten()
for i, col in enumerate(self.x_data.columns):
axes[i].hist(self.x_data[col], bins=30, color='blue', alpha=0.7)
axes[i].set_title(col)
for i in range(num_columns, len(axes)):
fig.delaxes(axes[i])
plt.tight_layout()
plt.savefig('all_histograms.png', dpi=300)
plt.close()
binary_columns = self.x_data.columns[self.x_data.nunique() == 1]
self.x_data = self.x_data.drop(columns=binary_columns)
#drop non-normal columns - removes columns that have no distribution (ie they are binary data) - Exploratory for now
self.non_normal_columns = []
for column in self.x_data.columns:
stat, p = stats.shapiro(self.x_data[column])
if p == 1:
self.non_normal_columns.append(column)
self.x_data = self.x_data.drop(self.non_normal_columns, axis=1)
with open('num_features.txt','w') as f:
f.write(f'Number of features that the model will be trained on: {self.x_data.shape[1]}')
#split data 75/15/10
# self.x_train, self.x_test, self.y_train, self.y_test = train_test_split(self.x_data, self.y, train_size=0.8)
self.x_train, x_temp, self.y_train, y_temp = train_test_split(self.x_data, self.y, train_size=0.75, random_state=42)
self.x_valid, self.x_test, self.y_valid, self.y_test = train_test_split(x_temp, y_temp, test_size=0.4, random_state=42)
#add noise - I should tune this to find what the most optimal noise factor is
for col in self.x_train.columns:
noise_factor = 0.025
#gaussian noise, scaled by the column's standard deviation
noise = noise_factor * random.normal(loc=0.0, scale=self.x_train[col].std(), size=self.x_train[col].shape)
self.x_train[col] += noise
# plt.hist(arrr,label='noise')
# plt.hist(self.x_train[col],label='no_noise')
# plt.title(f'{self.x_train.shape}')
# plt.legend()
# plt.show()
def multiclass_class(self):
if not exists('multiclass_models'):
mkdir("multiclass_models")
abs_path = join(getcwd(),'multiclass_models','keras_classifier_mc.h5')
if exists(abs_path):
self.dnn_class = keras.models.load_model(abs_path)
else:
shutil.rmtree('classifier_multiclass', ignore_errors=True)
input_shape = self.x_train.shape
tuner = RandomSearch(
lambda hp: build_classifier_with_batch_size(hp, input_shape),
objective='val_accuracy',
max_trials=250,
directory='classifier_multiclass',
project_name='classifier_multiclass_project',
overwrite=True
)
early_stop = EarlyStopping(monitor='val_loss', patience=30, mode='min', verbose=1)
tuner.search(self.x_train, self.y_train,
epochs=200, batch_size=None,
validation_data=(self.x_valid, self.y_valid),
callbacks=[early_stop])
best_model = tuner.get_best_models(1)[0]
#get best hyperparameters
best_hp = tuner.get_best_hyperparameters(num_trials=1)[0]
best_batch_size = best_hp.get('batch_size')
with open('hyperparameters.txt', 'w') as f:
for key, value in best_hp.values.items():
f.write(f'{key}: {value}\n')
f.write(f'best_batch_size: {best_batch_size}\n')
history = best_model.fit(self.x_train, self.y_train,
epochs=200, batch_size=int(best_batch_size), verbose=2,
validation_data=(self.x_test, self.y_test),
callbacks=[early_stop])
best_model.save(abs_path)
self.dnn_class = best_model
test_loss, test_accuracy = best_model.evaluate(self.x_test, self.y_test)
epochs = range(1, len(history.history['loss']) + 1)
plt.figure(figsize=(14, 5))
plt.subplot(1, 2, 1)
plt.plot(epochs, history.history['loss'], label='Training Loss')
plt.plot(epochs, history.history['val_loss'], label='Validation Loss')
plt.title(f'Training and Validation Loss: Test Loss: {test_loss}')
plt.xlabel('Epochs')
plt.ylabel('Loss')
plt.legend()
plt.subplot(1, 2, 2)
plt.plot(epochs, history.history['accuracy'], label='Training Accuracy')
plt.plot(epochs, history.history['val_accuracy'], label='Validation Accuracy')
plt.title(f'Training and Validation Accuracy: Test Accuracy: {test_accuracy}')
plt.xlabel('Epochs')
plt.ylabel('Accuracy')
plt.legend()
plt.tight_layout()
plt.savefig('Training.png',dpi=400)
plt.close()
def deep_learn_features(self):
#drop target label
self.x_regress.drop(columns=self.classifier_drop,inplace=True)
self.y_regress.drop(columns=self.classifier_drop,inplace=True)
#standardize
X_std = self.scaler.transform(self.x_regress)
y_std = self.scaler.transform(self.y_regress)
# FA
X_fa = self.fa.transform(X_std)
Y_fa = self.fa.transform(y_std)
#create DF
x_regress = DataFrame(X_fa, columns=[f'FA{i}' for i in range(1, self.manual_comp+1)])
y_regress = DataFrame(Y_fa, columns=[f'FA{i}' for i in range(1, self.manual_comp+1)])
#remove non-normal distributions
x_regress.drop(self.non_normal_columns, axis=1, inplace=True)
y_regress.drop(self.non_normal_columns, axis=1, inplace=True)
x_train, x_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(x_regress, y_regress, train_size=0.8)
#dnn feayures
if not exists('multiclass_models'):
mkdir("multiclass_models")
abs_path = join(getcwd(),'multiclass_models','feature_dnn_classifier.h5')
if exists(abs_path):
print('load trained feature regression model')
self.model_feature_regress_model = keras.models.load_model(abs_path)
else:
#FIND BEST PARAMETERS
tuner = RandomSearch(
lambda hp: create_model_classifier(hp,x_regress.shape[1]),
objective='val_loss',
max_trials=50,
directory='feature_learning_dnn',
project_name='model_tuning')
tuner.search_space_summary()
tuner.search(x_train, y_train, validation_data=(x_test, y_test), epochs=120)
# Get the best model and summary of the best hyperparameters
best_model = tuner.get_best_models(num_models=1)[0]
best_hyperparameters = tuner.get_best_hyperparameters(num_trials=1)[0]
best_model.summary()
hyperparams = best_hyperparameters.values
print(hyperparams)
best_model.save(abs_path)
lin_abs_path = join(getcwd(),'multiclass_models','feature_linear_regression.pkl')
# if not exists(lin_abs_path):
lin_model = LinearRegression().fit(x_train,y_train)
y_pred = lin_model.predict(x_test)
y_test_np = y_test.to_numpy()
mse_error = mean_squared_error(y_test_np,y_pred)
print(f'Linear Regression MSE: {mse_error}')
with open(lin_abs_path, 'wb') as file:
dump(lin_model, file)
self.feature_linear_regression = lin_model
# else:
# with open(lin_abs_path, 'rb') as file:
# self.feature_linear_regression = load(file)
#random forest features
lin_abs_path = join(getcwd(),'multiclass_models','feature_random_forest.pkl')
if not exists(lin_abs_path):
param_grid = {
'n_estimators': [300, 400, 500],
'max_depth': [None, 5, 10, 20],
'min_samples_split': [2, 5, 10], # Change min_child_weight to min_samples_split
'min_samples_leaf': [1, 2, 4], # Change gamma to min_samples_leaf
}
# Train the Random Forest model and Create the GridSearchCV object
grid_search = GridSearchCV(estimator=RandomForestRegressor(),
param_grid=param_grid,
cv=3, n_jobs=10,
verbose=3,
scoring='neg_mean_squared_error')
# Fit the GridSearchCV object to the training data
grid_search.fit(x_train, y_train)
#check validation data
val_predictions = grid_search.predict(x_test)
val_mse = mean_squared_error(y_test, val_predictions)
# Print the best parameters and best score
print("Best Parameters: ", grid_search.best_params_)
print("Best Explained Variance: ", grid_search.best_score_)
print(f'Valdition MSE: {val_mse}')
# Save the trained model to a file
with open(lin_abs_path, 'wb') as file:
dump(grid_search, file)
self.feature_rf = grid_search
else:
with open(lin_abs_path, 'rb') as file:
self.feature_rf = load(file)
def test_forecast(self,teams_file='teams_played_this_week.txt'):
with open(teams_file, 'r') as f:
lines = f.readlines()
idx = 0
both_teams_out, one_team_out,count_teams = 0, 0, 0
while idx < len(lines):
line = lines[idx].strip()
teams = line.split(',')
self.team_1, self.team_2 = teams
print(f'Currently making predictions for {self.team_1} vs. {self.team_2}')
#team data
team_1_df_2023 = collect_two_teams(f'https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/schools/{self.team_1.lower()}/2023/gamelog/', self.team_1.lower(), 2023)
team_1_df_2024 = collect_two_teams(f'https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/schools/{self.team_1.lower()}/2024/gamelog/', self.team_1.lower(), 2024)
team_1_df = concat([team_1_df_2023, team_1_df_2024])
team_2_df_2023 = collect_two_teams(f'https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/schools/{self.team_2.lower()}/2023/gamelog/', self.team_2.lower(), 2023)
team_2_df_2024 = collect_two_teams(f'https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/schools/{self.team_2.lower()}/2024/gamelog/', self.team_2.lower(), 2024)
team_2_df = concat([team_2_df_2023, team_2_df_2024])
#preprocess
team_1_df = self.str_manipulations(team_1_df)
team_2_df = self.str_manipulations(team_2_df)
#get team outcomes
if team_1_df['team_1_outcome'].iloc[-1] == 1:
team_1_out = 1
team_2_out = 0
else:
team_1_out = 0
team_2_out = 1
team_1_df.drop(columns=self.classifier_drop, inplace=True)
team_2_df.drop(columns=self.classifier_drop, inplace=True)
#extract everything except the last row
team_1_df = team_1_df.iloc[:-1]
team_2_df = team_2_df.iloc[:-1]
#length mismatch
length_difference = len(team_1_df) - len(team_2_df)
if length_difference > 0:
team_1_df = team_1_df.iloc[length_difference:]
elif length_difference < 0:
team_2_df = team_2_df.iloc[-length_difference:]
#Monte Carlo simulations
n_simulations = 25000
all_probas_both_teams = zeros(2)
all_probas_just_team_1 = zeros(2)
#team 1
team_1_df_copy = team_1_df.copy()
team_2_df_copy = team_2_df.copy()
for col in [c for c in team_2_df.columns if '_opp' not in c]:
opp_col = col + '_opp'
if opp_col in team_1_df_copy.columns:
team_1_df_copy[opp_col] = team_2_df_copy[col]
team_1_df_copy['team_2_score'] = team_2_df_copy['team_1_score']
#transformations and predictions
X_std = self.scaler.transform(team_1_df_copy)
X_fa = self.fa.transform(X_std)
team_1_df_copy = DataFrame(X_fa, columns=[f'FA{i}' for i in range(1, self.manual_comp + 1)])
team_1_df_copy.drop(self.non_normal_columns, axis=1, inplace=True)
for _ in range(n_simulations):
mc_sample = array([norm.rvs(loc=team_1_df_copy[col].mean(), scale=team_1_df_copy[col].std()*3)
for col in team_1_df_copy.columns]).T
probas = self.dnn_class.predict(mc_sample.reshape(1, -1),verbose=0)
all_probas_both_teams += probas[0]
all_probas_just_team_1 += probas[0]
#team 2
for col in [c for c in team_1_df.columns if '_opp' not in c]:
opp_col = col + '_opp'
if opp_col in team_2_df.columns:
team_2_df[opp_col] = team_1_df[col]
team_2_df['team_2_score'] = team_1_df['team_1_score']
X_std_t2 = self.scaler.transform(team_2_df)
X_fa_t2 = self.fa.transform(X_std_t2)
final_df_t2 = DataFrame(X_fa_t2, columns=[f'FA{i}' for i in range(1, self.manual_comp + 1)])
final_df_t2.drop(self.non_normal_columns, axis=1, inplace=True)
for _ in range(n_simulations):
mc_sample = array([norm.rvs(loc=final_df_t2[col].mean(), scale=final_df_t2[col].std()*3)
for col in final_df_t2.columns]).T
probas = self.dnn_class.predict(mc_sample.reshape(1, -1),verbose=0)
all_probas_both_teams += probas[0][::-1] #flip probabilities
#median probabilities
median_probas_both_teams = all_probas_both_teams / (n_simulations * 2)
median_probas_team_1 = all_probas_just_team_1 / (n_simulations)
print(f'predicted probas: {median_probas_both_teams}')
if median_probas_both_teams[0] > 0.5:
team_1_both_result = 1
else:
team_1_both_result = 0
# if median_probas_both_teams[1] > 0.5:
# team_2_both_result = 1
# else:
# team_2_both_result = 0
if median_probas_team_1[0] > 0.5:
team_1_pred_team_1 = 1
else:
team_1_pred_team_1 = 0
if team_1_out == team_1_both_result:
both_teams_out += 1
if team_1_out == team_1_pred_team_1:
one_team_out += 1
count_teams += 1
proportion_both_teams = both_teams_out / count_teams if count_teams > 0 else 0
proportion_one_team = one_team_out / count_teams if count_teams > 0 else 0
#write proportions to file
with open('proportions_test.txt', 'a') as f:
f.write(f"Both teams: {proportion_both_teams:.3f}, One team: {proportion_one_team:.3f}\n")
print('=======================================')
print(f'{self.team_1} win proba: {median_probas_both_teams[0]}')
print(f'{self.team_2} win proba: {median_probas_both_teams[1]}')
print(f'Prediction both {self.team_1}: {team_1_both_result}')
print(f'Prediction single {self.team_1}: {team_1_pred_team_1}')
print(f'did {self.team_1} win: {team_1_out}')
print(f'Monte Carlo both teams {count_teams} teams: {both_teams_out / count_teams}')
print(f'Monte Carlo Team 1 {count_teams} teams: {one_team_out / count_teams}')
print('=======================================')
lines.pop(idx)
with open(teams_file, 'w') as f:
f.writelines(lines)
check_ram_usage_txt(teams_file)
#check if RAM is the only string in the file
with open(teams_file , 'r') as file:
lines = file.readlines()
if len(lines) == 1 and lines[0].strip() == "RAM Full":
with open(teams_file, 'w') as file:
file.write("")
# idx += 1
def predict_teams(self, teams_file='teams_played_this_week.txt', results_file='results.csv'):
live_plot = False
num_layers = self.dnn_class.layers[0].input_shape[1]
if num_layers == self.manual_comp:
print('Number of layers from standardization and model are the same')
layer_diff = False
else:
print('Number of layers from standardization and model are diff. remove a layer')
layer_diff = True
#read the team names from the file
with open(teams_file, 'r') as f:
lines = f.readlines()
idx = 0
#prepare an empty list to store results for batch writing
# results_list = []
while idx < len(lines):
line = lines[idx].strip()
try:
teams = line.split(',')
if len(teams) != 2:
print(f'Invalid format in line: {line}')
idx += 1
continue
self.team_1, self.team_2 = teams
print(f'Currently making predictions for {self.team_1} vs. {self.team_2}')
#team data processing
team_1_df_2023 = collect_two_teams(f'https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/schools/{self.team_1.lower()}/2023/gamelog/', self.team_1.lower(), 2023)
team_1_df_2024 = collect_two_teams(f'https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/schools/{self.team_1.lower()}/2024/gamelog/', self.team_1.lower(), 2024)
team_1_df = concat([team_1_df_2023, team_1_df_2024])
team_2_df_2023 = collect_two_teams(f'https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/schools/{self.team_2.lower()}/2023/gamelog/', self.team_2.lower(), 2023)
team_2_df_2024 = collect_two_teams(f'https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/schools/{self.team_2.lower()}/2024/gamelog/', self.team_2.lower(), 2024)
team_2_df = concat([team_2_df_2023, team_2_df_2024])
#preprocess the data
team_1_df = self.str_manipulations(team_1_df)
team_2_df = self.str_manipulations(team_2_df)
team_1_df.drop(columns=self.classifier_drop, inplace=True)
team_2_df.drop(columns=self.classifier_drop, inplace=True)
#handle length mismatch
length_difference = len(team_1_df) - len(team_2_df)
if length_difference > 0:
team_1_df = team_1_df.iloc[length_difference:]
elif length_difference < 0:
team_2_df = team_2_df.iloc[-length_difference:]
#monte Carlo simulations
n_simulations = 10000
# all_probas = zeros(2)
all_probas_norm = zeros(2)
all_probas_log = zeros(2)
all_probas_beta = zeros(2)
all_probas_best = zeros(2)
#team 1 processing and predictions
team_1_df_copy = team_1_df.copy()
team_2_df_copy = team_2_df.copy()
for col in [c for c in team_2_df.columns if '_opp' not in c]:
opp_col = col + '_opp'
if opp_col in team_1_df_copy.columns:
team_1_df_copy[opp_col] = team_2_df_copy[col]
#team_1_df_copy['team_2_score'] = team_2_df_copy['team_1_score']
X_std = self.scaler.transform(team_1_df_copy)
X_fa = self.fa.transform(X_std)
team_1_df_copy = DataFrame(X_fa, columns=[f'FA{i}' for i in range(1, self.manual_comp + 1)])
team_1_df_copy.drop(self.non_normal_columns, axis=1, inplace=True)
if layer_diff == True:
team_1_df_copy = team_1_df_copy.iloc[:, :num_layers]
if live_plot == True:
#animated plot of monte carlo simulations
fig, ax = plt.subplots()
line1, = ax.plot([], [],label=self.team_1) # Use plot() for lines
line2, = ax.plot([], [],label=self.team_2)
ax.set_xlim(0, n_simulations)
ax.set_ylim(0, 1)
ax.set_xlabel('Monte Carlo Simulation')
ax.set_ylabel('Probability')
ax.set_title(f'{self.team_1} vs {self.team_2} Probabilities')
ax.legend()
x_data, y1_data, y2_data = [], [], []
def update_plot(frame):
nonlocal all_probas_norm, x_data, y1_data, y2_data # Use nonlocal to modify all_probas from the outer scope
# Team 1 processing and predictions
mc_sample = array([norm.rvs(loc=team_1_df_copy[col].mean(), scale=team_1_df_copy[col].std()*3)
for col in team_1_df_copy.columns]).T
probas = self.dnn_class.predict(mc_sample.reshape(1, -1), verbose=0)
all_probas_norm[0] += probas[0][0]
all_probas_norm[1] += probas[0][1]
x_data.append(frame)
#running average
y1_data.append(all_probas_norm[0] / (frame + 1))
y2_data.append(all_probas_norm[1] / (frame + 1))
line1.set_data(x_data, y1_data)
line2.set_data(x_data, y2_data)
return line1, line2
anim = FuncAnimation(fig, update_plot, frames=n_simulations, interval=1, blit=True, repeat=False)
plt.show()
else:
all_probas_norm, all_probas_log, all_probas_beta, all_probas_best, win_props_team_1 = self.monte_carlo_sampling(team_1_df_copy, all_probas_norm,
all_probas_log, all_probas_beta, all_probas_best,
'team_1',self.team_1, self.team_2, n_simulations)
# for _ in tqdm(range(n_simulations)):
# mc_sample = array([norm.rvs(loc=team_1_df_copy[col].mean(), scale=team_1_df_copy[col].std()*3)
# for col in team_1_df_copy.columns]).T
# probas = self.dnn_class.predict(mc_sample.reshape(1, -1), verbose=0)
# all_probas += probas[0]
#team 2 processing and predictions
for col in [c for c in team_1_df.columns if '_opp' not in c]:
opp_col = col + '_opp'
if opp_col in team_2_df.columns:
team_2_df[opp_col] = team_1_df[col]
#team_2_df['team_2_score'] = team_1_df['team_1_score']
X_std_t2 = self.scaler.transform(team_2_df)
X_fa_t2 = self.fa.transform(X_std_t2)
team_2_df = DataFrame(X_fa_t2, columns=[f'FA{i}' for i in range(1, self.manual_comp + 1)])
team_2_df.drop(self.non_normal_columns, axis=1, inplace=True)
if layer_diff == True:
team_2_df = team_2_df.iloc[:, :num_layers]
all_probas_norm, all_probas_log, all_probas_beta, all_probas_best, win_props_team_2 = self.monte_carlo_sampling(team_2_df, all_probas_norm,
all_probas_log, all_probas_beta, all_probas_best,
'team_2',self.team_1, self.team_2, n_simulations)
print('======================')
print(win_props_team_1)
print(win_props_team_2)
print('======================')
# for _ in tqdm(range(n_simulations)):
# mc_sample = array([norm.rvs(loc=team_2_df[col].mean(), scale=team_2_df[col].std()*3)
# for col in team_2_df.columns]).T
# probas = self.dnn_class.predict(mc_sample.reshape(1, -1), verbose=0)
# all_probas += probas[0][::-1] #flip probabilities for team 2
#calculate median probabilities and predicted winner
#normal dist
median_probas_norm = all_probas_norm / (n_simulations * 2)
predicted_class_norm = argmax(median_probas_norm)
predicted_winner_norm = self.team_1 if predicted_class_norm == 0 else self.team_2
#log dist
median_probas_log = all_probas_log / (n_simulations * 2)
predicted_class_log = argmax(median_probas_log)
predicted_winner_log = self.team_1 if predicted_class_log == 0 else self.team_2
#beta dist
median_probas_beta = all_probas_beta / (n_simulations * 2)
predicted_class_beta = argmax(median_probas_beta)
predicted_winner_beta = self.team_1 if predicted_class_beta == 0 else self.team_2
#best dist
median_probas_best = all_probas_best / (n_simulations * 2)
predicted_class_best = argmax(median_probas_best)
predicted_winner_best = self.team_1 if predicted_class_best == 0 else self.team_2
#add results to list
results_dict = {
'Team 1': [self.team_1],
'Team 2': [self.team_2],
'Team 1 Probability Norm': [round(median_probas_norm[0] * 100, 3)],
'Team 2 Probability Norm': [round(median_probas_norm[1] * 100, 3)],
'Predicted Winner Norm': [predicted_winner_norm],
'Team 1 Probability Log': [round(median_probas_log[0] * 100, 3)],
'Team 2 Probability Log': [round(median_probas_log[1] * 100, 3)],
'Predicted Winner Log': [predicted_winner_log],
'Team 1 Probability Beta': [round(median_probas_beta[0] * 100, 3)],
'Team 2 Probability Beta': [round(median_probas_beta[1] * 100, 3)],
'Predicted Winner Beta': [predicted_winner_beta],
'Team 1 Probability Best': [round(median_probas_best[0] * 100, 3)],
'Team 2 Probability Best': [round(median_probas_best[1] * 100, 3)],
'Predicted Winner Best': [predicted_winner_best]
}
#update teams file by removing processed line
idx += 1
with open(teams_file, 'w') as new_file:
new_file.writelines(lines[idx:])
#convert list to DataFrame and write to CSV
if results_dict:
if not exists(results_file):
results_df = DataFrame(results_dict)
results_df.to_csv(results_file, index=False)
else:
temp_file = read_csv(results_file)
concat([temp_file,DataFrame(results_dict)]).to_csv(results_file, index=False)
#clean up and check memory
del team_1_df, team_2_df
collect()
check_ram_usage()
except Exception as e:
print(f'The error: {e}. Most likely {self.team_1} or {self.team_2} do not have data')
idx += 1
def find_best_distribution(self,data):
distributions = [
'norm', 'lognorm', 'beta', 'gamma', 'expon', 'uniform', 'weibull_min', 'weibull_max',
'pareto', 't', 'chi2', 'triang', 'invgauss', 'genextreme', 'logistic', 'gumbel_r', 'gumbel_l',
'loggamma', 'powerlaw', 'rayleigh', 'laplace', 'cauchy'
]
n_samples = 1
f = Fitter(data, distributions=distributions)
f.fit()
best_dist = f.get_best(method='sumsquare_error')
dist_name = list(best_dist.keys())[0] # Get the name of the best distribution
dist_params = best_dist[dist_name] # Get the parameters of the best distribution
# Step 2: Generate samples from the best-fit distribution
if dist_name == 'norm':
samples = norm.rvs(loc=dist_params['loc'], scale=dist_params['scale'], size=n_samples)
elif dist_name == 'lognorm':
samples = lognorm.rvs(s=dist_params['s'], loc=dist_params['loc'], scale=dist_params['scale'], size=n_samples)
elif dist_name == 'beta':
samples = beta.rvs(a=dist_params['a'], b=dist_params['b'], loc=dist_params['loc'], scale=dist_params['scale'], size=n_samples)
elif dist_name == 'gamma':
samples = gamma.rvs(a=dist_params['a'], loc=dist_params['loc'], scale=dist_params['scale'], size=n_samples)
elif dist_name == 'expon':
samples = expon.rvs(loc=dist_params['loc'], scale=dist_params['scale'], size=n_samples)
elif dist_name == 'uniform':
samples = uniform.rvs(loc=dist_params['loc'], scale=dist_params['scale'], size=n_samples)
elif dist_name == 'weibull_min':
samples = weibull_min.rvs(c=dist_params['c'], loc=dist_params['loc'], scale=dist_params['scale'], size=n_samples)
elif dist_name == 'weibull_max':
samples = weibull_max.rvs(c=dist_params['c'], loc=dist_params['loc'], scale=dist_params['scale'], size=n_samples)
elif dist_name == 'pareto':
samples = pareto.rvs(b=dist_params['b'], loc=dist_params['loc'], scale=dist_params['scale'], size=n_samples)
elif dist_name == 't':
samples = t.rvs(df=dist_params['df'], loc=dist_params['loc'], scale=dist_params['scale'], size=n_samples)
elif dist_name == 'chi2':
samples = chi2.rvs(df=dist_params['df'], loc=dist_params['loc'], scale=dist_params['scale'], size=n_samples)
elif dist_name == 'triang':
samples = triang.rvs(c=dist_params['c'], loc=dist_params['loc'], scale=dist_params['scale'], size=n_samples)
elif dist_name == 'invgauss':
samples = invgauss.rvs(mu=dist_params['mu'], loc=dist_params['loc'], scale=dist_params['scale'], size=n_samples)
elif dist_name == 'genextreme':
samples = genextreme.rvs(c=dist_params['c'], loc=dist_params['loc'], scale=dist_params['scale'], size=n_samples)
elif dist_name == 'logistic':
samples = logistic.rvs(loc=dist_params['loc'], scale=dist_params['scale'], size=n_samples)
elif dist_name == 'gumbel_r':
samples = gumbel_r.rvs(loc=dist_params['loc'], scale=dist_params['scale'], size=n_samples)
elif dist_name == 'gumbel_l':
samples = gumbel_l.rvs(loc=dist_params['loc'], scale=dist_params['scale'], size=n_samples)
elif dist_name == 'loggamma':
samples = loggamma.rvs(c=dist_params['c'], loc=dist_params['loc'], scale=dist_params['scale'], size=n_samples)
elif dist_name == 'powerlaw':
samples = powerlaw.rvs(a=dist_params['a'], loc=dist_params['loc'], scale=dist_params['scale'], size=n_samples)
elif dist_name == 'rayleigh':
samples = rayleigh.rvs(loc=dist_params['loc'], scale=dist_params['scale'], size=n_samples)
elif dist_name == 'laplace':
samples = laplace.rvs(loc=dist_params['loc'], scale=dist_params['scale'], size=n_samples)
elif dist_name == 'cauchy':
samples = cauchy.rvs(loc=dist_params['loc'], scale=dist_params['scale'], size=n_samples)
else:
raise ValueError(f"Distribution {dist_name} not handled.")
return samples, dist_name, dist_params
def monte_carlo_sampling(self, df, all_probas_norm, all_probas_log, all_probas_beta, all_probas_best, team, team_1, team_2, n_simulations=10000):
#init the team wins
team1_wins_norm, team1_wins_log, team1_wins_beta, team1_wins_best = 0, 0, 0, 0
team2_wins_norm, team2_wins_log, team2_wins_beta, team2_wins_best = 0, 0, 0, 0
#estimate a and b for beta dist
min_val, max_val = df.min(), df.max()
scaled_data = (df - min_val) / (max_val - min_val)
mean_val = scaled_data.mean()
variance = scaled_data.var()
if (variance > 0).all(): #division by zero catch
a = mean_val * ((mean_val * (1 - mean_val)) / variance - 1)
b = (1 - mean_val) * ((mean_val * (1 - mean_val)) / variance - 1)
a = a.mean()
b = b.mean()
else:
a, b = 1, 1 #if variance is zero, fallback to uniform
for _ in tqdm(range(n_simulations)):
mc_sample_norm = array([norm.rvs(loc=df[col].mean(), scale=df[col].std()*3)
for col in df.columns]).T
mc_sample_log = array([lognorm.rvs(s=df[col].std(), scale=exp(df[col].mean()))
for col in df.columns]).T
mc_sample_beta = array(beta.rvs(a, b) * (df.min() - df.max()) + df.min())
#find the best dist for each feature
data_best_fit = []
for col in df.columns:
samples, dist_name, _ = self.find_best_distribution(df[col])
# print(f'best fit distribution: {dist_name}')
data_best_fit.append(samples)
mc_sample_best_fit = array(data_best_fit).reshape(1, -1)
#predictions
probas_norm = self.dnn_class.predict(mc_sample_norm.reshape(1, -1), verbose=0)
probas_log = self.dnn_class.predict(mc_sample_log.reshape(1, -1), verbose=0)
probas_beta = self.dnn_class.predict(mc_sample_beta.reshape(1, -1), verbose=0)
probas_best = self.dnn_class.predict(mc_sample_best_fit, verbose=0)
#save probas
if team == 'team_1':
all_probas_norm += probas_norm[0]
all_probas_log += probas_log[0]
all_probas_beta += probas_beta[0]
all_probas_best += probas_best[0]
#add how many times team_1 beat team_2
team1_wins_norm += probas_norm[0][0] > probas_norm[0][1]
team1_wins_log += probas_log[0][0] > probas_log[0][1]
team1_wins_beta += probas_beta[0][0] > probas_beta[0][1]
team2_wins_norm += probas_norm[0][1] > probas_norm[0][0]
team2_wins_log += probas_log[0][1] > probas_log[0][0]
team2_wins_beta += probas_beta[0][1] > probas_beta[0][0]
else:
all_probas_norm += probas_norm[0][::-1]
all_probas_log += probas_log[0][::-1]
all_probas_beta += probas_beta[0][::-1]
all_probas_best += probas_best[0][::-1]
flip_norm = probas_norm[0][::-1]
flip_log = probas_log[0][::-1]
flip_beta = probas_beta[0][::-1]
team1_wins_norm += flip_norm[0] > flip_norm[1]
team1_wins_log += flip_log[0] > flip_log[1]
team1_wins_beta += flip_beta[0] > flip_beta[1]
team2_wins_norm += flip_norm[1] > flip_norm[0]
team2_wins_log += flip_log[1] > flip_log[0]
team2_wins_beta += flip_beta[1] > flip_beta[0]
#calculate win proportions
team1_win_prop_norm = team1_wins_norm / n_simulations
team1_win_prop_log = team1_wins_log / n_simulations
team1_win_prop_beta = team1_wins_beta / n_simulations
team2_win_prop_norm = team2_wins_norm / n_simulations
team2_win_prop_log = team2_wins_log / n_simulations
team2_win_prop_beta = team2_wins_beta / n_simulations
win_proportions = {
f'{team_1}': {
'norm': team1_win_prop_norm*100,
'log': team1_win_prop_log*100,
'beta': team1_win_prop_beta*100
},
f'{team_2}': {
'norm': team2_win_prop_norm*100,
'log': team2_win_prop_log*100,
'beta': team2_win_prop_beta*100
}
}
return all_probas_norm, all_probas_log, all_probas_beta, all_probas_best, win_proportions
# def predict_teams(self, teams_file='team_names_played_this_week.txt', results_file='results.txt'):
# try:
# with open(teams_file, 'r') as f:
# lines = f.readlines()
# idx = 0
# with open(results_file, 'a') as results:
# while idx < len(lines):
# line = lines[idx].strip()
# try:
# teams = line.split(',')
# if len(teams) != 2:
# results.write(f'Invalid format in line: {line}\n')
# idx += 1
# continue
# self.team_1, self.team_2 = teams
# print(f'Currently making predictions for {self.team_1} vs. {self.team_2}')
# #team data
# team_1_df_2023 = collect_two_teams(f'https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/schools/{self.team_1.lower()}/2023/gamelog/', self.team_1.lower(), 2023)
# team_1_df_2024 = collect_two_teams(f'https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/schools/{self.team_1.lower()}/2024/gamelog/', self.team_1.lower(), 2024)
# team_1_df = concat([team_1_df_2023, team_1_df_2024])
# team_2_df_2023 = collect_two_teams(f'https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/schools/{self.team_2.lower()}/2023/gamelog/', self.team_2.lower(), 2023)
# team_2_df_2024 = collect_two_teams(f'https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/schools/{self.team_2.lower()}/2024/gamelog/', self.team_2.lower(), 2024)
# team_2_df = concat([team_2_df_2023, team_2_df_2024])
# #preprocess
# team_1_df = self.str_manipulations(team_1_df)
# team_2_df = self.str_manipulations(team_2_df)
# team_1_df.drop(columns=self.classifier_drop, inplace=True)
# team_2_df.drop(columns=self.classifier_drop, inplace=True)
# #length mismatch
# length_difference = len(team_1_df) - len(team_2_df)
# if length_difference > 0:
# team_1_df = team_1_df.iloc[length_difference:]
# elif length_difference < 0:
# team_2_df = team_2_df.iloc[-length_difference:]
# #Monte Carlo simulations
# n_simulations = 5000
# all_probas = zeros(2)
# #team 1
# team_1_df_copy = team_1_df.copy()
# team_2_df_copy = team_2_df.copy()
# for col in [c for c in team_2_df.columns if '_opp' not in c]:
# opp_col = col + '_opp'
# if opp_col in team_1_df_copy.columns:
# team_1_df_copy[opp_col] = team_2_df_copy[col]
# team_1_df_copy['team_2_score'] = team_2_df_copy['team_1_score']
# #transformations and predictions
# X_std = self.scaler.transform(team_1_df_copy)
# X_fa = self.fa.transform(X_std)
# team_1_df_copy = DataFrame(X_fa, columns=[f'FA{i}' for i in range(1, self.manual_comp + 1)])
# team_1_df_copy.drop(self.non_normal_columns, axis=1, inplace=True)
# for _ in tqdm(range(n_simulations)):
# mc_sample = array([norm.rvs(loc=team_1_df_copy[col].mean(), scale=team_1_df_copy[col].std()*3)
# for col in team_1_df_copy.columns]).T
# probas = self.dnn_class.predict(mc_sample.reshape(1, -1))
# all_probas += probas[0]
# #team 2
# for col in [c for c in team_1_df.columns if '_opp' not in c]:
# opp_col = col + '_opp'
# if opp_col in team_2_df.columns:
# team_2_df[opp_col] = team_1_df[col]
# team_2_df['team_2_score'] = team_1_df['team_1_score']