models.qmd

---
title: "Model"
author: "Jacob Hardin-Bernhardt"
format: html
---
$$y_{i} = \beta_{0} + \beta_{1} modern + \beta_{2}great + \beta_{3}nuclear + \epsilon_{i}$$
We are using a linear model with error terms on the dependent variable of whether armed hostility occurs in a given conflict. Our model predicts negative relationships between nuclear possession, great power status, and modernity with chance of severe escalation.