diff --git a/autumn/models/sm_covid2/params.yml b/autumn/models/sm_covid2/params.yml index 97abfe8aa..4d3b057bd 100644 --- a/autumn/models/sm_covid2/params.yml +++ b/autumn/models/sm_covid2/params.yml @@ -168,8 +168,8 @@ voc_emergence: icu_risk_adjuster: 1. cross_protection: wild_type: 1. - delta: 0.68 # 32% immune escape DOI: 10.1503/cmaj.211248 - omicron: .45 # 55% immune escape DOI: 10.1503/cmaj.211248 + delta: 0.82 # https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(22)02465-5 + omicron: 0.45 # https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(22)02465-5 delta: starting_strain: false seed_prop: 0. @@ -185,7 +185,7 @@ voc_emergence: cross_protection: wild_type: 1. delta: 1. - omicron: .45 # 55% immune escape DOI: 10.1503/cmaj.211248 + omicron: .45 # https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(22)02465-5 omicron: starting_strain: false seed_prop: 0. diff --git a/docs/tex/tex_descriptions/models/sm_covid/stratifications/strains.tex b/docs/tex/tex_descriptions/models/sm_covid/stratifications/strains.tex index 5e5785c43..c6b606139 100644 --- a/docs/tex/tex_descriptions/models/sm_covid/stratifications/strains.tex +++ b/docs/tex/tex_descriptions/models/sm_covid/stratifications/strains.tex @@ -7,9 +7,9 @@ We assumed that individuals previously infected with the wild-type strain could only be reinfected with the delta or omicron strains. However, such individuals have a reduced risk of infection with these variants compared to -infection-naive individuals (68\% and 45\% reduction for delta and omicron, respectively) \textcolor{red}{[REF DOI: 10.1503/cmaj.211248]}. +infection-naive individuals (82\% and 45\% reduction for delta and omicron, respectively) \cite{stein2023}. We assumed that individuals previously infected with the delta variant could only be reinfected with the omicron variant, -with an infection risk reduced by 45\% compared to infection-naive individuals \textcolor{red}{[REF DOI: 10.1503/cmaj.211248]}. +with an infection risk reduced by 45\% compared to infection-naive individuals \cite{stein2023}. The other parameters used to represent strain-specific characteristics are presented in Table \ref{param_table}. Seeding of each new strain into the model was achieved through the importation of a small number (10 per million population) of new infectious persons with the relevant strain into the model. diff --git a/docs/tex/user/rragonnet/sm_covid.pdf b/docs/tex/user/rragonnet/sm_covid.pdf index 1ba36bd90..b35754611 100644 Binary files a/docs/tex/user/rragonnet/sm_covid.pdf and b/docs/tex/user/rragonnet/sm_covid.pdf differ