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Future

Things that Might Look Weird in the Future

History teaches us that in 100 years from now [[Openness|some of the assumptions we believed will turn out to be wrong]]. A good question to ask is "What might we be wrong about today?". These are a few things that future humans might see as weird behavior:

  • Eat animals.
  • Drive manually.
  • Give birth without advanced assistance.
  • Not caring for all the animal suffering in the wild.
    • Nature is not safe! The default is suffering. The current mentality is that nature is good and disruptions from nature are bad.
  • The ignorance of Social Media and its full impact on s_o_ciety.
    • Is "being bad for society" an emergent property of social networks as they grow?
  • Current Voting Systems.
  • Not relying more into tools like Prediction Markets.

Predictions

  • More experimentation around [[Politics|governance]]:
    • Charter cities.
    • Holacracy.
    • [[Decentralized Autonomous Organizations|Cooperatives/DAOs]].
  • Cities are friendly to humans & wildlife, not cars.
  • More experimentation around [[Learning]] and education (e.g: teaching game theory as a subject in the modern curriculum)
  • More concern around systems with weird incentives causing large amount of pain (Moloch).
  • Work valuation changes (plumbing more expensive than some software development) due to Moravec's paradox. We will automate making a full app before a robot is able to master physical arms and legs like a 5 year old.
  • Open data will be more important as they can produce better models and help coordinate people providing shared context.
  • The current decentralized protocols (IPFS, ActivityPub, ...) need to evolve more. Specially around UX. People don't care about decentralization, they care about UX.

Exciting Software Engineering Ideas

  • Content Addressed Data + Immutability
  • CRDTs
  • Homomorphic Encryption
  • Prolly/Merkle Trees
  • Differential/Timely Dataflow
  • Zero-Knowledge Proofs