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ProtectionDifferentialPitch

A pitch based on differential comparisons between non-protected monopoly industries and non-protected competitive industries.

Motivation

The return to protectionism or Paul Krugman's summary for the motivation behind this pitch.

Things to improve

Coding

  • County boundaries are hard borders. Make these more flexible with a falloff over county distances.
  • No validation years nor mechanism (would be nice to validate on 2000 steel tariffs that employment change occurs).
  • Make sectoral data come with its year to facilitate downloading the proper survey dataset for businesses.

Non-Coding

  • Sectoral data is incomplete. Try to improve.
  • Add sectoral data for other events.
  • Loss function is poor. Try to adjust county_loss_func (you'll want penalty to reflect how indicative of the trend described in the papers the current county (row) is. Higher is worse)

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Data collection for UCF pitch for protection based stuff

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