This reposistory containts forecasts from the LEMMA model starting October 2023.
Older LEMMA forecasts are in the LEMMA-Forecasts repo. https://github.com/LocalEpi/LEMMA-Forecasts
The main LEMMA site is https://github.com/LocalEpi/LEMMA
LEMMA is a collaborative effort between experts in Medicine, Public Health, and Data Science, including but not limited to
- Joshua Schwab - UC Berkeley
- Laura B. Balzer - UMass Amherst
- Elvin Geng - Washington University
- James Peng - UC San Francisco
- Maya L. Petersen - UC Berkeley
- Sean L. Wu - UC Berkeley
Our Stan implementation is based on the "Santa Cruz County COVID-19 Model" (https://github.com/jpmattern/seir-covid19) by Jann Paul Mattern (UC Santa Cruz) and Mikala Caton (Santa Cruz County Health Services Agency). We are very grateful to Paul and Mikala for generously sharing their code and helping us.