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Using the CRPS as an heuristic objective function in hydrological model calibration

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CRPS_heuristic_OF

Using the Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS) as an heuristic objective function in hydrological model calibration

This repository contains scripts used to calculate grid-aggregated error metrics for residuals of groundwater head observations from wells. The error metrics are

  • mean squared error (MSE)
  • mean absolute error (MAE)
  • mean root error (MRE)
  • CRPS

It is originally used in context with the calibration of a MIKE SHE hydrological model with PEST or OSTRICH optimization tools. However, it can be applied in various optimization contexts where large evaluation datasets exist.

"Storaa_GWhead_test_observations.txt" is a test input file, and "Storaa_GWhead_test_grids.txt" and "Storaa_GWhead_test_grids_crpsDis.txt" are the respective test output files.

Reference

Schneider, R., Henriksen, H. J., and Stisen, S.: A robust objective function for calibration of groundwater models in light of deficiencies of model structure and observations, J. Hydrol., 613, 128339, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128339, 2022.

(there also exists an earlier preprint version in HESS Discussion; please refer to the final article in Journal of Hydrology above)

LICENSE

Copyright 2022 Raphael Schneider

Licensed under the Apache License, Version 2.0 (the "License"); you may not use this file except in compliance with the License. You may obtain a copy of the License at http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0 Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS, WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied. See the License for the specific language governing permissions and limitations under the License.

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