Study: What will be the effect of SARS-COV-2 B.1.1.7?

Reproducing results:

Optionally replace data/data.csv with your own dataset of the same format. The original data for Russia was obtained here.
Run the data preparation notebook
Run seir_moscow_hidden.ipynb to train and evaluate the usual SARS-COV-2 model.
Run seir_two_strain_hidden_states_moscow.ipynb to use that model to forecast for two strains.

Articles:

Name		Name	Last commit message	Last commit date
Latest commit History 66 Commits
data		data
figures		figures
sir_models		sir_models
.gitignore		.gitignore
README.md		README.md
covid_seir.drawio		covid_seir.drawio
habr_code.ipynb		habr_code.ipynb
prepare_data.ipynb		prepare_data.ipynb
seir_hidden_moscow.pkl		seir_hidden_moscow.pkl
seir_moscow_hidden.ipynb		seir_moscow_hidden.ipynb
seir_two_strain_hidden_states_moscow.ipynb		seir_two_strain_hidden_states_moscow.ipynb