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Probability

Wes edited this page Jun 27, 2015 · 7 revisions

Probability of Risk

Probability of Risk describes how likely an "observable" is specifically meant to cause harm. Unlikely describes services such as Facebook, Google and Microsoft. Certain describes services such as a specific phishing or botnet url or a known to be harmful binary hash.

(97 - 100) Certain

  • The very specific observable is ONLY used to produce harm.
  • botnet urls, domains, binary hashes

(61 - 96) Likely

  • domains resolved from urls
  • ip's resolved from domains

(26 - 60) Possible

  • Virtual hosting providers
  • searches

(0 - 25) Unlikely or Rare

  • Facilitating Infrastructure (application providers such as DNS, SMTP)
  • Godaddy, secureserver.net
  • Google, Facebook, Netflix

Notes

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Risk_Matrix https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Standard_deviation

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