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Pap
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1 What is a Pre-Analysis Plan (PAP)
==

A PAP is a document that formalizes and declares the design and analysis plan for your study. It is written before the analysis is conducted and is generally registered on a third-party website.[^TOP]
A PAP is a document that formalizes and declares the design and analysis plan for your study. It is written, ideally, before outcome data are collected, or at least before the analysis is conducted and is generally registered on a third-party website.[^TOP]

[^TOP]:PAPs are encouraged as part of the [Transparency and Openness Promotion (TOP) Guidelines](https://osf.io/4kdbm/?_ga=2.259736077.62256863.1547257566-317545181.1501862097) [@nosek2015], published in [Science](http://science.sciencemag.org/content/348/6242/1422.full), with leading social science journals committing to implementing TOP Guidelines.

The objectives of the PAP are to improve research design choices, increase research transparency, and allow other scholars to replicate your analysis. As a result, we recommend focusing the PAP on analytic details that will help you analyze your study and allow other researchers to replicate your analysis. A brief section on theory should be included insofar as it helps articulate hypotheses, but a detailed theory and literature review need not be included. The PAP does not need to include the front-end of an academic paper if these sections do not help you think about your analysis or help readers replicate your analysis.
The objectives of the PAP are to limit practices like data-mining or $p$-hacking that researchers use to overstate the evidence in favor of their claims, as well as to improve research design choices, increase research transparency, and allow other scholars to replicate your analysis. As a result, we recommend focusing the PAP on analytic details that will help you analyze your study and allow other researchers to replicate your analysis. A brief section on theory should be included insofar as it helps articulate hypotheses, but a detailed theory and literature review need not be included. The PAP does not need to include the front-end of an academic paper if these sections do not help you think about your analysis or help readers replicate your analysis.

In the following sections, we provide guidelines for the details you should include in PAPs, including example text. We also recommend that you include as much code and analysis of simulated data as possible.[^DD] Many PAPs will not be able to include everything on our list, but a PAP should, at a minimum, include the full list of hypotheses that you intend to test, how you will measure variables relevant to those hypotheses, and a verifiable time stamp.

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**Missing data** can come in two forms: missing covariates and missing outcomes. It is also important to specify when you expect to see missing outcomes or covariate and the procedures to deal with them in your PAP. Extreme points/missingness that are random will be less problematic than extreme points/missingess that seem to have a pattern.

Common procedures to address missing data or extreme points are 1) bounds analysis; 2) imputation; 3) dropping observations. We recommend considering the following questions when determining which procedure you would like to use:
Common procedures to address missing data or extreme points are 1) bounds analysis; 2) imputation; 3) dropping observations. See our guide [10 Things to Know About Missing Data](https://egap.org/resource/10-things-to-know-about-missing-data/) for details. We recommend considering the following questions when determining which procedure you would like to use:

- What issues may cause these extreme data points/missing covariates/missing outcomes? What can you do ahead of time to mitigate these data issues?
- How would you assess if the extreme/missing data are plausibly random (i.e. do the extreme data points/missingness correlate with treatment, specific covariates/subgroups, or outcomes)?
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -250,7 +250,7 @@ There are several third-party sites on which you can register your PAP. We list

- [EGAP Registry](https://egap.org/registry/)
- [AEA Registry](https://www.socialscienceregistry.org) (for RCTs only)
- [OSF Registry](http://help.osf.io/m/registrations)
- [OSF Registry](https://osf.io/registries)

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Expand Down Expand Up @@ -435,18 +438,21 @@ <h1>Abstract</h1>
<div id="what-is-a-pre-analysis-plan-pap" class="section level1">
<h1>1 What is a Pre-Analysis Plan (PAP)</h1>
<p>A PAP is a document that formalizes and declares the design and
analysis plan for your study. It is written before the analysis is
conducted and is generally registered on a third-party website.<a href="#fn1" class="footnote-ref" id="fnref1"><sup>1</sup></a></p>
<p>The objectives of the PAP are to improve research design choices,
increase research transparency, and allow other scholars to replicate
your analysis. As a result, we recommend focusing the PAP on analytic
details that will help you analyze your study and allow other
researchers to replicate your analysis. A brief section on theory should
be included insofar as it helps articulate hypotheses, but a detailed
theory and literature review need not be included. The PAP does not need
to include the front-end of an academic paper if these sections do not
help you think about your analysis or help readers replicate your
analysis.</p>
analysis plan for your study. It is written, ideally, before outcome
data are collected, or at least before the analysis is conducted and is
generally registered on a third-party website.<a href="#fn1" class="footnote-ref" id="fnref1"><sup>1</sup></a></p>
<p>The objectives of the PAP are to limit practices like data-mining or
<span class="math inline">\(p\)</span>-hacking that researchers use to
overstate the evidence in favor of their claims, as well as to improve
research design choices, increase research transparency, and allow other
scholars to replicate your analysis. As a result, we recommend focusing
the PAP on analytic details that will help you analyze your study and
allow other researchers to replicate your analysis. A brief section on
theory should be included insofar as it helps articulate hypotheses, but
a detailed theory and literature review need not be included. The PAP
does not need to include the front-end of an academic paper if these
sections do not help you think about your analysis or help readers
replicate your analysis.</p>
<p>In the following sections, we provide guidelines for the details you
should include in PAPs, including example text. We also recommend that
you include as much code and analysis of simulated data as possible.<a href="#fn2" class="footnote-ref" id="fnref2"><sup>2</sup></a> Many PAPs
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -685,7 +691,9 @@ <h1>7 What is in a PAP? Procedures for Data Issues</h1>
will be less problematic than extreme points/missingess that seem to
have a pattern.</p>
<p>Common procedures to address missing data or extreme points are 1)
bounds analysis; 2) imputation; 3) dropping observations. We recommend
bounds analysis; 2) imputation; 3) dropping observations. See our guide
<a href="https://egap.org/resource/10-things-to-know-about-missing-data/">10
Things to Know About Missing Data</a> for details. We recommend
considering the following questions when determining which procedure you
would like to use:</p>
<ul>
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -897,7 +905,7 @@ <h1>10 When and where do you register a PAP?</h1>
<li><a href="https://egap.org/registry/">EGAP Registry</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.socialscienceregistry.org">AEA Registry</a>
(for RCTs only)</li>
<li><a href="http://help.osf.io/m/registrations">OSF Registry</a></li>
<li><a href="https://osf.io/registries">OSF Registry</a></li>
</ul>
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