Methods write-up

[kaitejohnson]

Goal
Describe in mathematical detail, first in the analysis plan, then in below:

1. The process for estimating the delay
2. Process for generating a nowcast from a delay pmf
3. Process for estimating the uncertainty
4. Process for applying the uncertainty to generate a probabilistic nowcast

Solution

• Add a vignette that describes each of these model components

Alternative solution

• add maths directly to the main "Getting Started" vignette?

Additional context
#18 (comment)

[seabbs]

Or add it to the analysis plan first for discussion of the contents?

[kaitejohnson]

Or add it to the analysis plan first for discussion of the contents?

Have edited, will take a pass at using AutoLatex