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Instead of always saying "30s or longer" I think it is better to have a "starting" and "taking longer than usual" message. The change here is to show the "longer than usual" message earlier. I chose the cutoff at 17s because the median launch time is around 15s. 90% of launches complete in under a minute and 99% in around 4minutes. Maybe we can use these stats to build a "progress bar" for launches.