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[DMR] Dominaria Remastered - collation #12936

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@tiera3 tiera3 commented Sep 29, 2024

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@github-actions github-actions bot added the cards label Sep 29, 2024
@xenohedron xenohedron self-assigned this Sep 29, 2024
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This one's a bit more complicated:

Dominaria Remastered - boosters opened: 100000. Found cards: 1500000

C: 101 unique, min 7743, max 11406, total 953610
U: 80 unique, min 3559, max 6044, total 340650
R: 60 unique, min 1369, max 1538, total 85747
M: 20 unique, min 677, max 744, total 14253
L: 5 unique, min 20965, max 21352, total 105740

Rares/mythics/lands all look normal.

Commons - Street Wraith is overprinted due to a borderless variation (which per Lethe is included in packs), and Jalum Tome is the short-printed common. Without these outliers, min is 8974 and max is 10465. But there's another discrepancy - a sharp gap between 9366 and 10074. 23 commons fall in the range 10074 to 10465, and 76 commons fall in the range 8974 to 9366. These 23 commons plus Street Wraith are the ones with old-frame treatment. So commons all make sense.

Uncommons- 4 with borderless treatment fall in the range 5917 to 6044, another 32 with old frame treatment fall in the range 4695 to 5019, and the remaining 44 from 3559 to 3823. So uncommons make sense as well.

Interesting how the special collation leads to distortions.

Booster generation output

DMR L Island: 21352
DMR L Mountain: 21241
DMR L Forest: 21155
DMR L Plains: 21027
DMR L Swamp: 20965
DMR C Street Wraith: 11406
DMR C Whitemane Lion: 10465
DMR C Lull: 10452
DMR C Momentary Blink: 10404
DMR C Impulse: 10401
DMR C Terror: 10399
DMR C Fa'adiyah Seer: 10391
DMR C Peregrine Drake: 10388
DMR C Ovinize: 10369
DMR C Spirit Link: 10362
DMR C Ornithopter: 10349
DMR C Mind Stone: 10349
DMR C Goblin Matron: 10349
DMR C Counterspell: 10348
DMR C Frantic Search: 10297
DMR C Wild Dogs: 10291
DMR C Empty the Warrens: 10259
DMR C Juggernaut: 10256
DMR C Chain Lightning: 10251
DMR C Savannah Lions: 10242
DMR C Mogg War Marshal: 10212
DMR C Wild Growth: 10200
DMR C Duress: 10171
DMR C Renewed Faith: 10074
DMR C Drifting Meadow: 9366
DMR C Remote Isle: 9358
DMR C Ichor Slick: 9356
DMR C Mystic Zealot: 9343
DMR C Auramancer: 9335
DMR C Nightscape Familiar: 9321
DMR C Evil Eye of Orms-by-Gore: 9302
DMR C Veiled Serpent: 9284
DMR C Spark Spray: 9283
DMR C Nomad Decoy: 9282
DMR C Phantom Flock: 9275
DMR C Festering Goblin: 9268
DMR C Phyrexian Debaser: 9258
DMR C Seton's Desire: 9258
DMR C Wormfang Drake: 9256
DMR C Icatian Javelineers: 9253
DMR C Slippery Karst: 9252
DMR C Break Asunder: 9235
DMR C Giant Spider: 9234
DMR C Macetail Hystrodon: 9226
DMR C Symbiotic Beast: 9224
DMR C Aven Fisher: 9220
DMR C Hyalopterous Lemure: 9218
DMR C Goblin Medics: 9218
DMR C Man-o'-War: 9216
DMR C Suq'Ata Lancer: 9214
DMR C Vigilant Sentry: 9213
DMR C Lightning Reflexes: 9211
DMR C Horseshoe Crab: 9207
DMR C Sun Clasp: 9204
DMR C Twisted Experiment: 9198
DMR C Sandstorm: 9196
DMR C Emerald Charm: 9186
DMR C Kavu Primarch: 9182
DMR C Coal Stoker: 9177
DMR C Ember Beast: 9172
DMR C Remedy: 9169
DMR C Goblin Turncoat: 9167
DMR C Leaden Fists: 9164
DMR C Radiant's Judgment: 9164
DMR C Obsessive Search: 9157
DMR C Kjeldoran Gargoyle: 9156
DMR C Undying Rage: 9154
DMR C Polluted Mire: 9151
DMR C Werebear: 9146
DMR C Aquamoeba: 9143
DMR C Avarax: 9140
DMR C Krosan Restorer: 9136
DMR C Glintwing Invoker: 9129
DMR C Subterranean Scout: 9128
DMR C Deep Analysis: 9126
DMR C Orim's Thunder: 9124
DMR C Wretched Anurid: 9122
DMR C Skirk Prospector: 9122
DMR C Phyrexian Ghoul: 9115
DMR C Primal Boost: 9114
DMR C Pacifism: 9110
DMR C Solar Blast: 9108
DMR C Urborg Uprising: 9106
DMR C Phyrexian Rager: 9105
DMR C Battlefield Scrounger: 9097
DMR C Cleric of the Forward Order: 9096
DMR C Grapeshot: 9086
DMR C Urborg Syphon-Mage: 9081
DMR C Elvish Aberration: 9081
DMR C Cackling Fiend: 9080
DMR C Hermetic Study: 9076
DMR C Ridgetop Raptor: 9073
DMR C Cloud of Faeries: 9066
DMR C Smoldering Crater: 9063
DMR C Snap: 9061
DMR C Terminal Moraine: 9060
DMR C Penumbra Bobcat: 9022
DMR C Dragon Engine: 9010
DMR C Stonewood Invoker: 8999
DMR C Howl from Beyond: 8974
DMR C Jalum Tome: 7743
DMR U Radha, Heir to Keld: 6044
DMR U High Tide: 5967
DMR U Flametongue Kavu: 5950
DMR U Chainer's Edict: 5917
DMR U Squirrel Nest: 5019
DMR U Tiana, Ship's Caretaker: 4961
DMR U Tormod's Crypt: 4956
DMR U Valduk, Keeper of the Flame: 4942
DMR U Mishra's Factory: 4909
DMR U Mystic Enforcer: 4902
DMR U Deadwood Treefolk: 4883
DMR U Swords to Plowshares: 4878
DMR U Undead Gladiator: 4874
DMR U Gerrard's Verdict: 4865
DMR U Spiritmonger: 4857
DMR U Nature's Lore: 4856
DMR U Dark Withering: 4854
DMR U Recoil: 4848
DMR U Serra Angel: 4844
DMR U Gempalm Incinerator: 4843
DMR U Mesa Enchantress: 4833
DMR U Sawtooth Loon: 4829
DMR U Elvish Spirit Guide: 4827
DMR U Damping Sphere: 4821
DMR U Fact or Fiction: 4802
DMR U Quicksilver Dagger: 4796
DMR U Dragon Whelp: 4790
DMR U Necrosavant: 4788
DMR U Dralnu's Crusade: 4786
DMR U Dread Return: 4771
DMR U Tatyova, Benthic Druid: 4770
DMR U Icy Manipulator: 4769
DMR U Turnabout: 4753
DMR U Thran Golem: 4744
DMR U Fireblast: 4735
DMR U Invigorating Boon: 4695
DMR U Assault // Battery: 3823
DMR U Fire // Ice: 3811
DMR U Congregate: 3811
DMR U Floodgate: 3792
DMR U Storm Entity: 3770
DMR U Wax // Wane: 3760
DMR U Dragon Blood: 3759
DMR U Darigaaz's Caldera: 3751
DMR U Improvised Armor: 3751
DMR U Wall of Junk: 3739
DMR U Spite // Malice: 3720
DMR U Phyrexian Scuta: 3709
DMR U Crop Rotation: 3703
DMR U Spectral Lynx: 3699
DMR U Rith's Grove: 3698
DMR U Night // Day: 3697
DMR U Crosis's Catacombs: 3696
DMR U Ovinomancer: 3694
DMR U Griffin Guide: 3692
DMR U Treva's Ruins: 3687
DMR U Order // Chaos: 3683
DMR U Pain // Suffering: 3681
DMR U Voice of All: 3672
DMR U Zombie Infestation: 3669
DMR U Flesh Reaver: 3665
DMR U Deadapult: 3665
DMR U Millikin: 3663
DMR U Thieving Magpie: 3661
DMR U Aven Fateshaper: 3659
DMR U Terravore: 3649
DMR U Slice and Dice: 3648
DMR U Life // Death: 3642
DMR U Faceless Butcher: 3629
DMR U Battle Screech: 3629
DMR U Call of the Herd: 3628
DMR U Nantuko Monastery: 3625
DMR U Dromar's Cavern: 3624
DMR U Illusion // Reality: 3623
DMR U Dodecapod: 3616
DMR U Gamekeeper: 3606
DMR U Circular Logic: 3578
DMR U Lightning Rift: 3572
DMR U Stand // Deliver: 3564
DMR U Confiscate: 3559
DMR R Wrath of God: 1538
DMR R Pashalik Mons: 1516
DMR R Jolrael, Mwonvuli Recluse: 1493
DMR R Gamble: 1492
DMR R Mystic Remora: 1486
DMR R Entomb: 1482
DMR R Jester's Cap: 1471
DMR R Gemstone Mine: 1467
DMR R Woodland Cemetery: 1463
DMR R Birds of Paradise: 1463
DMR R Clifftop Retreat: 1462
DMR R Xira Arien: 1459
DMR R Sulfur Falls: 1456
DMR R Phantom Nishoba: 1454
DMR R Forgotten Ancient: 1453
DMR R Crawlspace: 1451
DMR R Pyre Zombie: 1448
DMR R Divine Sacrament: 1447
DMR R Glory: 1447
DMR R Isolated Chapel: 1446
DMR R Mystical Tutor: 1443
DMR R Umbilicus: 1439
DMR R Saproling Symbiosis: 1438
DMR R Opposition: 1435
DMR R Triskelion: 1433
DMR R Hinterland Harbor: 1426
DMR R Cryptic Gateway: 1425
DMR R Absorb: 1424
DMR R Urza's Blueprints: 1421
DMR R Siege-Gang Commander: 1421
DMR R Sevinne's Reclamation: 1421
DMR R Worldly Tutor: 1420
DMR R Arcanis the Omnipotent: 1420
DMR R Exploration: 1420
DMR R Body Snatcher: 1416
DMR R Sulfuric Vortex: 1415
DMR R Grim Lavamancer: 1414
DMR R Maze of Ith: 1411
DMR R Chainer, Dementia Master: 1411
DMR R Nantuko Shade: 1410
DMR R Windborn Muse: 1409
DMR R Denizen of the Deep: 1409
DMR R Mindslicer: 1409
DMR R Shivan Dragon: 1407
DMR R Stroke of Genius: 1404
DMR R Vexing Sphinx: 1401
DMR R Spinal Embrace: 1400
DMR R Lotus Blossom: 1399
DMR R Overmaster: 1398
DMR R Rith, the Awakener: 1398
DMR R Helm of Awakening: 1397
DMR R Royal Assassin: 1397
DMR R Lieutenant Kirtar: 1395
DMR R Arcades Sabboth: 1394
DMR R Sol'kanar the Swamp King: 1392
DMR R Zur the Enchanter: 1382
DMR R Arboria: 1378
DMR R Decimate: 1376
DMR R Enlightened Tutor: 1376
DMR R Oversold Cemetery: 1369
DMR M Vampiric Tutor: 744
DMR M Dark Depths: 740
DMR M Sylvan Library: 736
DMR M Legacy Weapon: 731
DMR M Force of Will: 731
DMR M Gauntlet of Power: 726
DMR M Urza's Incubator: 725
DMR M Sneak Attack: 722
DMR M Nut Collector: 716
DMR M Hunting Grounds: 715
DMR M Kamahl, Fist of Krosa: 704
DMR M Test of Endurance: 704
DMR M Yawgmoth, Thran Physician: 703
DMR M Lyra Dawnbringer: 703
DMR M Last Chance: 702
DMR M Worldgorger Dragon: 698
DMR M Urza, Lord High Artificer: 696
DMR M Serra Avatar: 692
DMR M Time Stretch: 688
DMR M No Mercy: 677

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tiera3 commented Sep 30, 2024

Borderless Street Wraith and the four borderless uncommons had the least information.
Lethe suggested that they probably occurred with equal chances to each other, and displaced an uncommon in a small proportion of packs
Collecting DMR (WoTC article) stated that there was a 6% chance to displace an uncommon with a bordeless C (however, that would mean that 30% of packs would have a displaced uncommon - so I instead used 6% as the chance for a displaced uncommon - regardless of whether it was displaced by a borderless uncommon or Street Wraith).
Collecting DMR (WoTC article) also stated that packs contained 0-3 borderless cards (would have to be C/U, R/M, foil) and there was a 17% chance for a pack to contain 1 borderless card. (Treating that as "at least one" borderless card, 6% drop rate for a borderless C/U combined with a 25% drop rate for rares/mythics with borderless variations worked out to 17%) I ignored foils in this calculation, assuming that they wouldn't make a significant difference.

Also considering, rares and mythics already had a 25% drop rate for old frame variations, it made sense that the borderless variation had the same drop rate.

@tiera3 tiera3 deleted the dmr-collation branch September 30, 2024 11:44
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