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Update Vic Supplement to remove reference to Davies
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jtrauer committed Sep 1, 2021
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34 changes: 17 additions & 17 deletions docs/papers/covid_19/parameters/age_specific_parameters.tex
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Expand Up @@ -8,40 +8,40 @@ \subsection{Age-specific parameters}
\hline
Age group (years) & Clinical fraction\textsuperscript{a} & Relative susceptibility to infection & Infection fatality rate & Proportion of symptomatic patients hospitalised \\
\hline
0 to 4 & 0.29 & 0.36 & 3 $\times$ 10\textsuperscript{-5} & 0.0777 \\
0 to 4 & 0.533 & 0.36 & 3 $\times$ 10\textsuperscript{-5} & 0.0777 \\
\hline
5 to 9 & 0.29 & 0.36 & 1 $\times$\textsuperscript{-5} & 0.0069 \\
5 to 9 & 0.533 & 0.36 & 1 $\times$\textsuperscript{-5} & 0.0069 \\
\hline
10 to 14 & 0.21 & 0.36 & 1 $\times$\textsuperscript{-5} & 0.0034 \\
10 to 14 & 0.533 & 0.36 & 1 $\times$\textsuperscript{-5} & 0.0034 \\
\hline
15 to 19 & 0.21 & 1 & 3 $\times$\textsuperscript{-5} & 0.0051 \\
15 to 19 & 0.533 & 1 & 3 $\times$\textsuperscript{-5} & 0.0051 \\
\hline
20 to 24 & 0.27 & 1 & 6 $\times$\textsuperscript{-5} & 0.0068 \\
20 to 24 & 0.679 & 1 & 6 $\times$\textsuperscript{-5} & 0.0068 \\
\hline
25 to 29 & 0.27 & 1 & 1.3 $\times$\textsuperscript{-4} & 0.0080 \\
25 to 29 & 0.679 & 1 & 1.3 $\times$\textsuperscript{-4} & 0.0080 \\
\hline
30 to 34 & 0.33 & 1 & 2.4 $\times$\textsuperscript{-4} & 0.0124 \\
30 to 34 & 0.679 & 1 & 2.4 $\times$\textsuperscript{-4} & 0.0124 \\
\hline
35 to 39 & 0.33 & 1 & 4.0 $\times$\textsuperscript{-4} & 0.0129 \\
35 to 39 & 0.679 & 1 & 4.0 $\times$\textsuperscript{-4} & 0.0129 \\
\hline
40 to 44 & 0.40 & 1 & 7.5 $\times$\textsuperscript{-4} & 0.0190 \\
40 to 44 & 0.679 & 1 & 7.5 $\times$\textsuperscript{-4} & 0.0190 \\
\hline
45 to 49 & 0.40 & 1 & 1.21 $\times$\textsuperscript{-3} & 0.0331 \\
45 to 49 & 0.679 & 1 & 1.21 $\times$\textsuperscript{-3} & 0.0331 \\
\hline
50 to 54 & 0.49 & 1 & 2.07 $\times$\textsuperscript{-3} & 0.0383 \\
50 to 54 & 0.679 & 1 & 2.07 $\times$\textsuperscript{-3} & 0.0383 \\
\hline
55 to 59 & 0.49 & 1 & 3.23 $\times$\textsuperscript{-3} & 0.0579 \\
55 to 59 & 0.679 & 1 & 3.23 $\times$\textsuperscript{-3} & 0.0579 \\
\hline
60 to 64 & 0.63 & 1 & 4.56 $\times$\textsuperscript{-3} & 0.0617 \\
60 to 64 & 0.803 & 1 & 4.56 $\times$\textsuperscript{-3} & 0.0617 \\
\hline
65 to 69 & 0.63 & 1.41 & 1.075 $\times$\textsuperscript{-2} & 0.1030 \\
65 to 69 & 0.803 & 1.41 & 1.075 $\times$\textsuperscript{-2} & 0.1030 \\
\hline
70 to 74 & 0.69 & 1.41 & 1.674 $\times$\textsuperscript{-2} & 0.1072 \\
70 to 74 & 0.803 & 1.41 & 1.674 $\times$\textsuperscript{-2} & 0.1072 \\
\hline
75 and above & 0.69 & 1.41 & 5.748 $\times$\textsuperscript{-2, b} & 0.0703 \\
75 and above & 0.803 & 1.41 & 5.748 $\times$\textsuperscript{-2, b} & 0.0703 \\
\hline
Source/ rationale &
Model fitting to age-distribution of early cases in China, Italy, Japan, Singapore, South Korea and Canada taken from upper-left panel of Figure 2b of \cite{RN33}. &
Table 1 of systematic review and meta-analysis with appropriate accounting for testing during the pre-symptomatic period \cite{RN140}. &
Conversion of odds ratios presented in Table S15 of Zhang et al. 2020 to relative risks using data presented in Table S14 of the same study \cite{RN7}.\textsuperscript{c} &
Estimated from pooled analysis of data from 45 countries from Table S3 of O'Driscoll et al \cite{RN6}. Values consistent with previous estimates using serosurveys performed in Spain \cite{RN21}. &
Estimates from the Netherlands as the first wave of infections declined from 4th May to 21st July \cite{RN9}. \\ \hline
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40 changes: 30 additions & 10 deletions docs/papers/tex/covid_library.bib
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Expand Up @@ -234,6 +234,20 @@ @article{RN4
type = {Journal Article}
}

@article{RN139,
author = {Han, Emeline and Tan, Melisa Mei Jin and Turk, Eva and Sridhar, Devi and Leung, Gabriel M. and Shibuya, Kenji and Asgari, Nima and Oh, Juhwan and García-Basteiro, Alberto L. and Hanefeld, Johanna and Cook, Alex R. and Hsu, Li Yang and Teo, Yik Ying and Heymann, David and Clark, Helen and McKee, Martin and Legido-Quigley, Helena},
title = {Lessons learnt from easing COVID-19 restrictions: an analysis of countries and regions in Asia Pacific and Europe},
journal = {The Lancet},
volume = {396},
number = {10261},
pages = {1525-1534},
ISSN = {0140-6736},
DOI = {10.1016/S0140-6736(20)32007-9},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)32007-9},
year = {2020},
type = {Journal Article}
}

@article{RN23,
author = {He, X. and Lau, E. H. Y. and Wu, P. and Deng, X. and Wang, J. and Hao, X. and Lau, Y. C. and Wong, J. Y. and Guan, Y. and Tan, X. and Mo, X. and Chen, Y. and Liao, B. and Chen, W. and Hu, F. and Zhang, Q. and Zhong, M. and Wu, Y. and Zhao, L. and Zhang, F. and Cowling, B. J. and Li, F. and Leung, G. M.},
title = {Temporal dynamics in viral shedding and transmissibility of COVID-19},
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -443,17 +457,10 @@ @misc{RN58
type = {Web Page}
}

@article{RN9,
author = {},
title = {National Institute for Public Health and the Environment},
journal = {Epidemiologische situatie COVID-19 in Nederland. Technical Report},
volume = {20},
number = {5},
pages = {546-546},
DOI = {10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30304-2},
url = {www.thelancet.com/infection},
@misc{RN9,
url = {https://www.rivm.nl/archief-weekrapportages-covid-19-in-nederland},
year = {2020},
type = {Journal Article}
type = {Government Document}
}

@article{RN41,
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -556,6 +563,19 @@ @article{RN43
type = {Journal Article}
}

@article{RN140,
author = {Sah, Pratha and Fitzpatrick, Meagan C. and Zimmer, Charlotte F. and Abdollahi, Elaheh and Juden-Kelly, Lyndon and Moghadas, Seyed M. and Singer, Burton H. and Galvani, Alison P.},
title = {Asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection: A systematic review and meta-analysis},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
volume = {118},
number = {34},
pages = {e2109229118},
DOI = {10.1073/pnas.2109229118},
url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/118/34/e2109229118.abstract},
year = {2021},
type = {Journal Article}
}

@article{RN44,
author = {Saul, A. and Scott, N. and Crabb, B. S. and Majumdar, S. S. and Coghlan, B. and Hellard, M. E.},
title = {Victoria’s response to a resurgence of COVID-19 has averted 9,000-37,000 cases in July 2020},
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