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{ | ||
"cells": [ | ||
{ | ||
"cell_type": "code", | ||
"execution_count": null, | ||
"metadata": {}, | ||
"outputs": [], | ||
"source": [ | ||
"import warnings\n", | ||
"import pandas as pd\n", | ||
"import plotly.graph_objects as go\n", | ||
"import plotly.express as px\n", | ||
"\n", | ||
"from autumn.core.inputs.tb_camau import queries\n", | ||
"from autumn.core.inputs import get_death_rates_by_agegroup, get_life_expectancy_by_agegroup, get_crude_birth_rate\n", | ||
"import pathlib" | ||
] | ||
}, | ||
{ | ||
"cell_type": "code", | ||
"execution_count": null, | ||
"metadata": {}, | ||
"outputs": [], | ||
"source": [ | ||
"warnings.filterwarnings(\"ignore\")" | ||
] | ||
}, | ||
{ | ||
"cell_type": "code", | ||
"execution_count": null, | ||
"metadata": {}, | ||
"outputs": [], | ||
"source": [ | ||
"age_string_map = {\n", | ||
" 0: \"0-4\",\n", | ||
" 5: \"5-14\",\n", | ||
" 15: \"15-34\",\n", | ||
" 35: \"35-49\",\n", | ||
" 50: \"50+\",\n", | ||
"}\n", | ||
"age_breakpoints = [0,5,15,35,50]" | ||
] | ||
}, | ||
{ | ||
"cell_type": "code", | ||
"execution_count": null, | ||
"metadata": {}, | ||
"outputs": [], | ||
"source": [ | ||
"def get_death_rates_by_year(year):\n", | ||
" death_rates_from_db =get_death_rates_by_agegroup(age_breakpoints, \"VNM\")\n", | ||
" df = pd.DataFrame(death_rates_from_db[0], index=death_rates_from_db[1])\n", | ||
" if year not in death_rates_from_db[1]:\n", | ||
" print(\"No data for this year!\")\n", | ||
" else:\n", | ||
" return(df.loc[year]) " | ||
] | ||
}, | ||
{ | ||
"cell_type": "code", | ||
"execution_count": null, | ||
"metadata": {}, | ||
"outputs": [], | ||
"source": [ | ||
"death_series = get_death_rates_by_year(1952.5)\n", | ||
"death_series" | ||
] | ||
}, | ||
{ | ||
"cell_type": "code", | ||
"execution_count": null, | ||
"metadata": {}, | ||
"outputs": [], | ||
"source": [ | ||
"init_pop = 100000" | ||
] | ||
}, | ||
{ | ||
"cell_type": "code", | ||
"execution_count": null, | ||
"metadata": {}, | ||
"outputs": [], | ||
"source": [ | ||
"df = pd.DataFrame({\n", | ||
" 'age': death_series.index,\n", | ||
" 'qx': death_series.values\n", | ||
"})\n", | ||
"\n", | ||
"# Initialize the 'lx' column with an initial population of 100,000 for age 0\n", | ||
"df['lx'] = 100000\n", | ||
"\n", | ||
"# Calculate population 'lx' for each age group\n", | ||
"for i in range(1, len(df)):\n", | ||
" df.loc[i, 'lx'] = df.loc[i - 1, 'lx'] - (df.loc[i - 1, 'qx'] * df.loc[i - 1, 'lx'])\n", | ||
"\n", | ||
"#calculate number of death\n", | ||
"df[\"dx\"] = 0\n", | ||
"for x in range(5):\n", | ||
" if x >=4:\n", | ||
" df[\"dx\"][x] = df[\"lx\"][x]\n", | ||
" else:\n", | ||
" df['dx'] = df['lx'] * df['qx']\n", | ||
"\n", | ||
"#μx: is the force of mortality, i.e., represents the instantaneous rate at which people are dying.\n", | ||
"df[\"μx\"] = 0\n", | ||
"df[\"μx\"][0] = 2.0692602739726 * df[\"dx\"][0] /(2*df[\"lx\"][0])\n", | ||
"for x in range(1,5):\n", | ||
" df[\"μx\"][x] = (df[\"dx\"][x-1]+df[\"dx\"][x])/(2*df[\"lx\"][x])\n", | ||
"#Tx: is the total years of life to be lived by those aged exactly x (not the random variable Tx) until they all die\n", | ||
"df[\"Tx\"] = 0\n", | ||
"for x in range(5):\n", | ||
" df[\"Tx\"][x] = 0\n", | ||
" for y in range(x,5):\n", | ||
" df[\"Tx\"][x] += df[\"lx\"][y]\n", | ||
"df[\"e0x\"] = df[\"Tx\"]/df[\"lx\"] - 0.5\n", | ||
"\n", | ||
"df[\"Lx\"] = 0.000\n", | ||
"for x in range(5):\n", | ||
" df[\"Lx\"][x] = df[\"Tx\"][x]-df[\"lx\"][x]\n", | ||
"df" | ||
] | ||
} | ||
], | ||
"metadata": { | ||
"kernelspec": { | ||
"display_name": "autumn310", | ||
"language": "python", | ||
"name": "python3" | ||
}, | ||
"language_info": { | ||
"codemirror_mode": { | ||
"name": "ipython", | ||
"version": 3 | ||
}, | ||
"file_extension": ".py", | ||
"mimetype": "text/x-python", | ||
"name": "python", | ||
"nbconvert_exporter": "python", | ||
"pygments_lexer": "ipython3", | ||
"version": "3.10.0" | ||
} | ||
}, | ||
"nbformat": 4, | ||
"nbformat_minor": 2 | ||
} |